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Merry Christmas to Everyone!
Looks like my predictions were just about perfect for last week. $12M for Mona LIsa and $74 for the behemoth that is Lord of the Rings 3. Now this weekend it gets tough to pick, other than none of these openers will touch Lord of the Rings 3. 4 movies are opening this weekend vying for your coveted dollars. This in my opinion is about 1 too many... someone's gonna bomb. So we start with "Cheaper by the Dozen" the remake of the 1950 flick starring Steve Martin is opening on a massive 3297 screens. I'll venture a opening of $15M for this seeing as it has the most screens of any new release and a decent advertising campaign. "Paycheck" is my darkhorse pick for the weekend. Starring Ben Affleck and opening on 2762 screens the sci-fi actioner is directed by John Woo, soooo look for slo-mo, big explosions etc, hopefully there's enough interest for a $12M take for the weekend. "Cold Mountain" the Nicole Kidman Oscar hopeful opens this weekend on 2163 screens. This civil war epic/love story should interest someone... though not me :) $10M is my guesstimate. Finally my bomb for the weekend. "Peter Pan" opening on 2840 screens (which is good) vs another remake (bad). I dunno no buzz or hype so I'm not too hopeful for it. $6M is my depressing guess.
Predictions for weekend of Dec 26-28
|Movie | | Est BO in $M | | % dropoff | | # of Screens | | Est PSA | | Prior PSA | |
Lord of the Rings 3 | 59.2 | 20 | 3703 | 16000 | 19613 |
Cheaper By the Dozen | 14.8 | na | 3297 | 4500 | new |
Paycheck | 12.4 | na | 2762 | 4000 | new |
Cold Mountain | 9.7 | na | 2163 | 4500 | new |
Something's Gotta Give | 9.2 | 20 | 2709 | 3400 | 4264 |
Mona Lisa Smile | 6.9 | 40 | 2677 | 2600 | 4306 |
Peter Pan | 5.7 | na | 2840 | 2000 | new |
The Last Samurai | 5.8 | 10 | 2557 | 2300 | 2644 |
Elf | 4.6 | 0 | 2015 | 2300 | 2245 |
Stuck on You | 4.3 | 0 | 2400 | 1800 | 1757 |
Bad Santa | 3.5 | 0 | 1710 | 2300 | 2293 |
Thanks for stopping by and have a safe and happy holidays :)
Weeeelll after last weekends brutal projections, we can hope to be a little more accurate this weekend. So off to the races we go... Lord of the Rings 3: Return of the King is probably "The" most anticipated movie of the year. Wednesday's stellar $34.1M opening day take was largest ever, so expect this movie to completely dominate the Box office for the weekend. I'll predict a Fri-Sun of $74M. The also ran for this weekend is Mona Lisa Smile a chick flick with osar hopes, starring Julia Roberts, hmm... $12M is my guess.
Weekend Predictions Dec 19-21
|Movie | | Est BO in $M | | % dropoff | | # of Screens | | Est PSA | | Prior PSA | |
Lord of the Rings 3 | 74.0 | na | 3703 | 20000 | new |
Mona Lisa Smile | 12.0 | na | 2677 | 4500 | new |
Something's Gotta Give | 8.0 | 50 | 2677 | 3000 | 6001 |
The Last Samurai | 7.0 | 50 | 2938 | 2400 | 4844 |
Stuck on You | 4.5 | 50 | 3007 | 1500 | 3133 |
Elf | 3.9 | 25 | 2451 | 1600 | 2092 |
Bad Santa | 3.8 | 30 | 2225 | 1700 | 2367 |
Love Don't Cost a Thing | 3.1 | 50 | 1844 | 1700 | 3424 |
Haunted Mansion | 2.9 | 40 | 2414 | 1200 | 2045 |
Cat In the Hat | 1.9 | 35 | 2115 | 900 | 1410 |
Honey | 1.8 | 50 | 1825 | 1000 | 1972 |
On a another topic Blogshares is back up!! cool!! Thanks to Jay for taking over the site!
should be sleeping now so plz forgive for all the typo's that no doubt will occur that I'll totally miss. :)
Last weekends guesses.... pretty coles if I do say so myself "The Last Samuai" predicted 26.1 actual $24M I'll live,will the prodcution compainies... Honey 10.7M predicted vs 12ish actual, things are looking up for this weeks "Urban Mix"
Yes I'm wayyyy to laxy to do all the calculations this week other than to say... it should be a stronger weekend than last. So without further ado here we go "Somethings Gotta Give" the new Jack Nicholsen, Diane Keaton should... I hope win this weekend's box office draw with a respectable $22M, Second I'm hoping is "Stuck On You" the Farrley Bros latest (sp) oops Starring Matt Damon and someone else playing Siamese Twins... yeash spare me. 3rd vs this shit should be last weekends anemic champ "The Last Samurai" with about a $8M slice and dice. Rounding out the top 5 should be this wieels last entry into the big time "Love Don'T Cost a Thing" a urbanized (read afro american) ie black for those a little thick. Remake of the 80's move "Money Can't Buy Me Love" It should squeak into the top 5 with a take of $10..5M ish.
For those stoping in a lil earlier for predictions ooops... :) my bad, I'll try not to do that again.
Edit: Ooops $19M for "Stuck on You" and fixed a couple typos.
Dear BlogShares players,
I am sorry to announce that BlogShares will not be reopening after the current technical difficulties are resolved. Currently, the database server is dead and looks to be for the next few days.
The latest system crash has highlighted to me that deliverying a fun, useful service for the BlogShares community requires an active operator and developer. As most of you are no doubt aware I've been neither for the past couple of months. That has led to a decline of quality service, new features and ultimately income for the site and it looked likely that there wouldn't be enough to pay for next month's hosting.
It's been an interesting and very rewarding nine months bringing a bit of entertainment to bloggers (and blog lovers). I'd like to thank especially all those people who donated money or their valuable time, those who became premium subscribers, those who worked on cool toys which made use of the fledgling API and all those who could be found on the forums and IRC channel. You turned a silly fun idea of a mad monkey coder in London into something worthy of the attention by thousands of bloggers and the press.
A special mention goes to Greg, Jay, Erika, Joe, Aine, James, Ashes, Morgaine, Patrick and Rob.
My goal with the project was always to embrace the power law and to provide a new way of highlighting blogs with a little bit of fun. I've been pleasantly surprised of how well it did and stupefied it did it for so long. Now, however, it is time to move on to other things. I'm sure you'll be hearing from me in the not so distant future. You can also find me at my perpetual home: monkeyx.com.
All the best,
UPDATE: If you're interested in acquiring BlogShares please see here.
The above shamelessly stolen from blogshares.com
Though I hadn't been playing or admining as much as I should have it was fun. The Power law link above should really be read if you played this game at all. This explains the thought behind the game. Tis and interesting read as well as few more there. I have a few more thoughts on this but I'll keep those to myself atm. All in all it was a blast and I do hope something rises from the ashes ;) You may want to read the Aug 8 posting on "My Brief History of Blogshares"
G'day to anyone who pops in for a look see :) So the US Thanksgiving weekend has came and went with the box takes not too bad IMO. I suppose I do have to flavour my Timeline pick with something but I haven't decided what just yet. The Movie did manage $12M over the 5 day period. My other sucky pick Haunted Mansion disappointed me with a $35M 5 day opening. On the bright side Bad Santa outperformed to a respectable $16.8M vs my $15M pick and I nailed the Missing's $17M opening.
On to this week 2 new movies opening The Last Samurai, the latest effort from Tom Cruise, and Honey, starring the Dark Angel herself Jessica Alba with a plethora of cameos from current hip-hop stars. This weekend is supposedly one of the worst in the entire year for openings hmmm. So here I go predicting against the flow and Tom's star power in figuring The Last Samurai will open to a mere $26M. The oscar / epic hopeful just doesn't look that interesting to me. Seeing as Master & Commander didn't fare all that well, as my prime reason for thinking this will tank as well. I'm also going to suggest that Honey will open stronger than what is being forecast coming in with a respectable $10M. This movie looks like another flashdance, updated to current musical tastes... though not really my musical tastes. For the holdovers look for substancial drops for all other than possibly Bad Santa, strong Word of Mouth :)
Movie Predictions for the Weekend of Dec 5-7
|Movie | | Est BO in $M | | % dropoff | | # of Screens | | Est PSA | | Prior PSA | |
Last Samurai | 26.1 | na | 2908 | 9000 | new |
Honey | 10.7 | na | 1941 | 5500 | new |
Bad Santa | 8.9 | 30 | 2091 | 4300 | 6131 |
Cat In the Hat | 8.5 | 65 | 3409 | 2500 | 7055 |
Elf | 8.4 | 60 | 3119 | 2700 | 6761 |
Haunted Mansion | 7.8 | 65 | 3122 | 2500 | 7776 |
Gothika | 5.9 | 50 | 2205 | 2700 | 5402 |
The Missing | 5.5 | 50 | 2756 | 2000 | 3930 |
Love Actually | 5.2 | 40 | 1870 | 2800 | 4795 |
Master & Commander | 5.1 | 50 | 2344 | 2200 | 4457 |
Timeline | 3.6 | 60 | 2787 | 1300 | 3028 |
Yay, no more messing with <table>, <tr>, <td> tags etc. Cascading Style Sheets (css) rock my world :) Gracias to Owen Briggs, glish.com, brainjar.com, tantek.com, alistapart.com and of course www.w3.org for making it all make sense.